Rate of return (StatisticsIn this article, the authors use real estate and economic cycle information to simulate portfolio returns based on a series of buy/sell strategies, and then compare these results to si
But there is clear evidence that market timing is difficult. Often, investors will sell early, missing out on a stock market rally. It can also be unnerving to invest when the market is flashing red. By contrast, staying invested through highs and lows has generated competitive returns, especi...
We also investigated the economic value of this asymmetry and found that it can provide substantial utility gains. Suppose a mean-variance investor with a risk aversion of 3 invests over the market portfolio and the Treasury bill. Using asymmetry to predict the market return, the investor can ob...
That’s why I made up and use the term “Level of Interest” vs. “support” and “resistance.” It’s not support if it doesn’t hold, and it’s not resistance if the market price goes straight through it to the upside! First, read my PRIOR post update below. There you will see...
CONCLUSION: The market has already fallen enough to bounce, although another 6-7% decline is possible from history (the exact number is a guessobviously due to the limited number of these extreme sentiment data points).If you add here, be ready and willing to add lower or higher IMO… ...
Using the 200-day moving average of broad market indices like the S&P 500 as a guideline of when to buy/sell can reduce drawdowns and often increases...
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CONCLUSION: The market has already fallen enough to bounce, although another 6-7% decline is possible from history (the exact number is a guessobviously due to the limited number of these extreme sentiment data points).If you add here, be ready and willing to add lower or higher IMO… ...
Navigating the financial markets requires a keen understanding of risk sentiment, and one often-overlooked dataset that provides valuable insights is FINRA’s margin debt statistics. Reported monthly, these figures track the total debit balances in customers’ securities margin accounts—a key proxy for...
(9)EC JRC, “Market Consultation on Terrestrial Time Backbone,” Publications Office of the European Union, October 2024. Authors Nunzio Gambaleis co-founder and CEO of Locata. He is a serial entrepreneur who’s founded three companies. He has been responsible for business development, partnership...