By Archie Hall, Britain economics correspondent, The Economist 全球经济近来经历了一系列冲击,包括新冠疫情、通胀飙升以及俄乌冲突。如今尘埃渐落,一切究竟发生了怎样的改变?Bumpily and with a few shudders, central bankers made the landing in 2024. The grim predictions that only deep recessions could p...
edoaltamura/election-predictions Star2 A framework for analysing polling data and predicting election outcomes. data-sciencemachine-learningdata-visualizationdata-engineeringpolitical-sciencefeature-engineeringthe-economist UpdatedSep 7, 2023 Jupyter Notebook ...
always outperforming,” said Dan North, senior economist with Allianz Trade Americas. Fed Chair Jerome Powell “has got to have a smirk on his face this morning. Again, he’s defying the economists’ predictions with strong growth and inflation clearly coming under...
What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2025 The World Ahead 2025, The Economist (November 2024) Following another successful collaboration last year, Good Judgment’s Superforecasters were invited to contribute their forecasts forThe Economist’s forward-looking publication,The World...
will not be accurate representations of the true uncertainty.The Economistapproach models the excess rate with a flexible tree-based machine learning technique, gradient boosting. The approach is clearly described and uses a resampling technique, the bootstrap, to form interval estimates, but there is...
"At the moment, a modest cut of 25 basis points in September seems likely. If that goes well, we could even see two additional 25 basis point cuts before 2024 comes to an end," said Jacob Channel, chief economist at LendingTree, in an email. "Cuts are far from guaran...
2024年度多元、公平与包容趋势与预测+The+Latest+DEI+Trends++Predictions+for+2024.docx,The Latest DEI Trends Predictions for 2024: Insights from The Diversity Movement’s work with clients in 2023 By Jamie Ousterout Chief Experience Officer, The Diversity M
17 settembre 2024 Autore Tina Jessop, Senior Economist, LGT Private Banking Tempo di lettura 5 minutoCondividi questa pagina The economy is at the heart of the election on 4 November. Although the US economy is relatively strong, voters remain unhappy. © Keystone/AP Photo/Michael Dwyer...
"The evidence suggests we're already past peak inflation. So the year-on-year rate of inflation should start to move lower," Michael Gapen, chief economist at Bank of America, told "Face the Nation" this week. However, he added, "It will probably take two to three years to get inflat...
Chief Economist - The American Institute of Architects (AIA) For the past 24 years, Kermit Baker, Ph.D., Hon. AIA, has worked with the AIA to calculate and share his monthly evaluations of the Architecture Billings Index and Annual Value of Construction Put in Place. Although having previous...