The Delphi methodWilliamson, Kirsty
1. 飞法 ...)、分类图(AFFINITY DIAGRAM)及达飞法(THE DELPHI METHOD)来搜集团队成员的点子、主意; 16、我会在让团 … wenku.baidu.com|基于3个网页 2. 德菲尔法 除此之外,前瞻与未来研究有几种研究方式;德菲尔法(the Delphi method),又称为专家问卷法,是一种互动的系统预测方法, … ...
Dalkey NC (1972) The Delphi method: an experimental study of group opinion. In: Dalkey NC, Rourke DL, Lewis R, Snyder D (eds) Studies in the quality of life: Delphi and decision-making. Lexington Books, Lexington, MA, pp 13–54 Google Scholar Dalkey N, Heimer O (1963) An experimenta...
Define Delphi method. Delphi method synonyms, Delphi method pronunciation, Delphi method translation, English dictionary definition of Delphi method. n a forecasting or decision-making technique that makes use of written questionnaires to eliminate the i
Scenarios are developed and used for a multiplicity of reasons that range from the study of a financial environment to the behaviour of a system, or the aftermath of alternative courses of actions. Another use of scenarios is in connection to elicitation
159 The Delphi Method is ___ . A. used to derive a consensus arriving at a convergent solution B. useful in determining probability relating to future events. C. used with questionnaires based on established scenarios. D. continued as an iterative process until a solution is reached. E. ...
P. G. Moore; The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, Volume 140, Issue 2,
The Delphi method is well suited to the research needed to inform health education and health promotion campaigns. This paper measures the current interest in the method by way of a literature review. It then describes how the method has evolved from its inception in the 1950s, to its curren...
Another technique for building consensus while minimizing groupthink is the Delphi method. This technique was developed during the Cold War to project how technology might change warfare. But it can be used to develop consensus around any continuous variable. To begin the exercise, each member anonym...
The Delphi method was originally conceived in the 1950s by Olaf Helmer and Norman Dalkey of Rand Corp. The name refers to the Oracle of Delphi, a priestess at the temple of Apollo in ancient Greece known for her prophecies. The Delphi method allows experts to work toward amutual agreementby...