Orth, R. and Seneviratne, S.: Using soil moisture forecasts for sub-seasonal summer temperature predictions in Europe, Clim. Dyn., 43,Orth, R. and Seneviratne, S.: Using soil moisture forecasts for sub- seasonal
Using 2783 days of weather data retrieved from NiMet as ground truth, the accuracy of NASA predictions with the corresponding resolution was calculated. Mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.184 °C and root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.579 °C, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.710 ...
Additionally, the effects of no-analogue conditions may be influenced by habitat complexity, further complicating predictions of ecological responses. Thus, although our study provides a framework for identifying no-analogue conditions, the actual ecological impacts will depend on a multitude of factors,...
However, the validity of predictions generated by single model is limited to only a few cases. River water temperature is influenced by many factors, such as solar radiation, tributary inflow and atmospheric heat exchange, and a single model can hardly capture water temperature trends. For example...
The fact that atmospheric temperature fluctuations are the key driver for sea-ice variability limits prospects of interannual predictions of sea ice, and suggests that observed record lows in Arctic sea-ice area are a direct response to an unusually warm atmosphere. This is a preview of ...
It strikes a balance between the need for accurate predictions and the practical constraints of data availability, making it a robust choice for HVAC system control. In the context of MPC, grey-box models are particularly useful because they reduce the amount of data required for accurate ...
These results indicate that coral bleaching is more often reported in summer than in other seasons, and the seasonality of coral bleaching is consistent with the seasonality of high-temperature events but not with high-temperature anomaly events. For the interannual variation, more than 50% of the...
relationships in the model need to be resolved before it can be used for future predictions. Impacts of emission control on air pollution-temperature relationships Summer anthropogenic emissions of SO2and NOxwere 61% and 32% less in 2010–2016 than in 2000–2009, leading to decreased PM2.5and ...
Climate predictions are only meaningful if the associated uncertainty is reliably estimated. A standard practice is to use an ensemble of climate model projections. The main drawbacks of this approach are the fact that there is no guarantee that the ensemble projections adequately sample the possible...
2023) has led to an increased understanding of heatwave patterns and their associated physical mechanisms, enabling more skillful predictions and simulations of extreme heatwaves. Summer heatwaves are caused by fluctuations in the large-scale atmospheric circulation and regional feedbacks (e.g., Wu et...