Joe Biden regained it narrowly for the Democrats in 2020, but polls suggest the outcome this year is on a knife’s edge. A total of 270 electoral votes are needed to win the US presidential election, with each state allotted a fixed number of votes based roughly on the size ...
With that in mind, we thought it would be helpful to update where things stand in state-level polls of the presidential contest,like we did at the beginning of May. To do this, we gathered all the state polls in FiveThirtyEight’s polling database conducted since May 1 and then averaged...
So this year, we're unveiling a brand-new methodology for averaging polls of the presidential general election. While the general approach is similar — we take polls, we weight them, we adjust them and we average them together — the various steps of our model no longer hap...
tough road to retaining their razor-thin majority in the Senate would become basically impassable without holding onto this seat. Hundreds of millions of dollars have poured into the state for the Senate contest alone, in addition to plenty of other money pouring in thanks t...
Both campaigns’ spending in closing messages might surprise you, but shows how candidates view the raceWe may not know the next president on Election Day. This Arizona swing county could be why.Tracking swing state polls the day before the 2024 election ...
North Carolina, a historically Republican state, is now considered a political battleground as unaffiliated voters have become the fastest-growing group among its booming population — portending an unpredictable 2020 presidential election, according to experts. “Like many other Southern states, North Ca...
What to watch in 2020 Polling Democratic nominee Joe Biden has been leading Trump in state polls for nearly two months, but the margin has tightened indicating another close race. Democrats can't be complacent. In 2016, Trump won Florida by just 1.2 percentage points. ...
The border state’s 11 electoral votes are up for grabs after President Joe Biden’s narrow victory there in 2020.
The presidential race in Pennsylvania, the crown jewel of the battleground states with 19 electoral votes, remains effectively tied. The results of the Michigan and North Carolina polls are also within the margin of error. Harris continues to lead Trump in New Hampshi...
Trump or Harris: Who’s ahead in the polls? Coming just weeks ahead of a registration deadline, the ruling threw the voter enrolment system of a critical swing state into uncertainty in the tight presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. ...