This also means the model implicitly puts less weight on polls that look like huge outliers, after adjusting for all the factors above. At the state level, we consider one more variable: the national political environment. Historically, candidates' support has tended to rise and fall across the...
Donald Trump won Pennsylvania in 2016, confounding those who assumed this was a Democrat stronghold, as had been the case at every election since Bill Clinton won the state in 1992. Joe Biden regained it narrowly for the Democrats in 2020, but polls suggest the outcome this year ...
Swing state polls show movement toward Harris 08:39 Share this - Copied The Cook Political Report shows Vice President Kamala Harris has pulled the polling in her direction in every state and has already taken the lead in five states. Dave Wasserman and Tatishe Nteta join Chris Hayes to disc...
The fall campaign has begun in earnest, and the presidential race is still tight, according to swing state polls conducted forThe Hillbetween Aug. 23 and 28. The big question is: Why the race still so close? In the short time Vice President Harris has been the designated Democratic nominee...
former Vice President Joe Biden has a clear lead over President Trumpin the national polls. But recent state-level surveysalso give Biden an edgeover Trump in a number of key swing states. And of course, how Trump and Biden do at the state level matters the most, as that’s how the ...
A slew of battleground-state polls out Thursday shows a presidential race that has tightened in several key states, echoing national polls that show a bounce for Republican Mitt Romney after his strong debate performance Oct. 3.Feldmann, Linda...
(especially among the many military bases, but excluding the Tallahassee area) and southwestern portions are solidly Republican. The swing state phenomenon was most notable in the 2000 Presidential Election, where themainstream mediacalled the state for Al Gore (before polls had closed in the ...
摘要: Swing-state polls by Quinnipiac, the N.Y. Times and CBS show a tight race. Romney leads Obama in Colo. 50%-45%; Obama leads in Va. 49%-45% and Wis. 51%-45%. [ FROM PUBLISHER]年份: 2012 收藏 引用 批量引用 报错 分享 ...
Another set of swing-state polls out Wednesday night shows an almost comically close race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Fox News surveys show the two candidates virtually even in Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — both on full ballots including third-party ...
It's similar to how President Joe Biden was performing in the swing state. Kelly Garrity07/21/2024, 7:19pm ETA new Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly trailing former President Dona...