比特币的STOCK-TO-FLOW估值模型 Stock-To-Flow模型是比特币被广泛接受的估值模型之一,由荷兰分析师PlanB提出。PlanB这个昵称挺有意思,既有相对PlanA的意思,又可看作Plan Bitcoin的缩写。 S2F模型中的stock表示存量,而flow表示增量。稀缺性可以用两者之间的比值度量。即 S2F=stock/flow . 举个例子,黄金的S2F值大约...
本文旨在对比特币价值的stock-to-flow模型进行证伪,该模型是在“比特币价值稀缺性模型( Modelling Bitcoin’s Value with Scarcity)”中被定义的。 对问题进行定义 要证伪一个假设,首先我们必须说明它是什么: 零假设(H0):比特币的价值是比特币stock-to-flow的函数 备选假设(H1):比特币的价值不是比特币stock-to...
https://stats.buybitcoinworldwide.com/stock-to-flow/ https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25 何为stock-to-flow?已挖掘存量/流量,标识着 以现有挖掘速度 挖出 现有已经挖出的存量需要的时间。几种贵金属的数值如下表(此为19年的数据): 那么接下来,对比一...
Bitcoin stock to flow model This chart shows the Bitcoin stock to flow model price compared to actual close price for a given Day. The Stock/flow ratio is a value calculated when total number of Bitcoins in circulation is divided by number of Bitcoins mined in a time window x. Why this...
This makes bitcoin’s current stock-to-flow: 18.8 / 0.3 = 63 As you can see, at 63, bitcoin’s stock-to-flow is already approaching that of gold. “Around the year 2022, Bitcoin's stock-to-flow ratio will overtake that of gold”, wrote Saifedean Ammous. And this number is only ...
Gold's stock to flow is much higher than any other metal, partly explaining why it's so valuable. Bitcoin is similar to gold in that it also has a high stock-to-flow ratio. The amount of newly mined bitcoins is tiny when compared to the existing stock of bitcoins. ...
如果严格而重复的检验不能证明一个假设是错误的,那么每次检验假设一个更高的可能性是正确的。这个概念叫做可证伪性。本文旨在对比特币价值的stock-to-flow模型进行证伪,该模型是在“比特币价值稀缺性模型( Modelling Bitcoin’s Value with Scarcity)”中被定义的。
Popular methods to value Bitcoin include the stock-to-flow model, Metcalfe's Law, technical analysis, and sentiment-related measures. Within this paper, I test whether such models and variables are predictive of Bitcoin's returns. I find that the stock-to-flow model predictions and Metcalfe's...
Bitcoin 94,141.2 -1,377.7 -1.44% Ethereum 3,407.19 +88.85 +2.68% Tether 0.9987 -0.0005 -0.05% XRP 2.2430 +0.0353 +1.60% BNB 687.90 +17.60 +2.63% Solana 193.491 +9.079 +4.92% 关注列表推荐 教育科技股 教育科技龙头股有哪些?查看完整教育科技股名单,挖掘一流的教育科技股,追踪每支教育...
Coinbase is the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange by value traded. Its trading platform enablescryptocurrencytrading for retail investors and custodial accounts for institutions. AlthoughBitcoinis the most popular cryptocurrency, others traded includeEthereumand Litecoin. ...