The CPR Senate Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all Senate seats up in 2024. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the state’s political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candid...
After the 2022 midterms, I found that GOP primary candidates who were endorsed by Trump went on to lag the predictions for general-election Democratic by a vote margin of about 5 percentage points. That large of an effect could tip a close race in Ohio, so the expected vote calculus ...
by eric lutz politics why the 2024 election was defined by “crazy s--t after more crazy s--t” less than two months after donald trump was convicted, he was nearly assassinated. then joe biden was abruptly forced out of the race, letting kamala harris take the mantle. by eric lutz ...
The Peters retirement makes Michigan the political hotbed of the early 2026 election cycle. Not only will we see a competitive open Senate race here, as was the case in 2024, but the open Governor’s contest could feature a wild three-way political battle largely because Detroit Mayor Mike D...
When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate forecast — way back in July — we concluded the race for Senate control was a toss-up. That was a little ahead o…
The final 2020 Senate race ratings fromSabato's Crystal Ball. Use their map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast. November 2:Iowa moves from Leans Democratic to Leans Republican; North Carolina from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Texas from Likely to Leans Repu...
“Had the president gotten out sooner, there may have been other candidates in the race,” she told the Times, adding, “The anticipation was that, if the president were to step aside, that there would be an open primary.” Jan 2025 ...
In Wisconsin, operatives on both sides of the aisle note that GOP-leaning men have firmly moved into Republican Eric Hovde’s column, bringing the race close to even. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) has also found herself on the back foot after consistent GOP messaging about her refusal to ...
many experts have made correct predictions. As for 2020 US Senate election odds, political experts predict neither a Red Wave nor a Blue Wave. Instead, they are projecting a balanced political equilibrium throughout Congress. That means the race remains basically around 50-50, and it can easily...
Predictions of the 2018 election results HOUSE SENATE Senate Race See a forecast where you liveLoading estimates...Most Likely Outcome is forecasted to swing POSSIBLE WITHIN MARGIN OF ERRORMOSTLIKELY Outsidechance Outsidechance DEMOCRAT SENATE CONTROL REPUBLICAN SENATE CONTROL Less likely election ...