Retrospective forecasts of the 1982 - 2009 period indicate that skillful predictions can be made from as early as November of the previous year; that is, skillful forecasts for the coming North Atlantic hurricane season could be made as the current one is closing. Based on forecasts initialized ...
Gudgel, 2011: Statistical-dynamical pre- dictions of seasonal North Atlantic hurricane activity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1070-1082.Statistical-dynamical predictions of seasonal North Atlantic hurricane activity.Mon.Wea - Held, GudgelM. Zhao, H. Wang, G. Villarini, A. Rosati, A. Kumar, I. M...
To provide a comprehensive assessment of statistical significance and for the purpose of increasing the ensemble spread, simulations were conducted for 29 boreal summer seasons from 1990 to 2018 with a 6-member ensemble for each season. Each simulation covers the main Northern Hemisphere hurricane seas...
A Statistical Forecast Model for Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity Based on the NCEP Dynamical Seasonal Forecast The combination of the three predictors for the interannual variation, along with the two methodologies for the trend, is explored in developing an ... H Wang,JKE Schemm,A Kumar,.....
The NMME models have shown promising performance in precipitation forecasting [41], drought prediction [25], wildfire projections [18], SST predictions [39,41], hurricane forecasting [46] and ENSO prediction [47] seasonally. Ten heterogeneous NMME models are collected to provide seasonal SST ...