These scenario reduction methods based on input performance focus mainly on the scenario parameters, but overlooking where the uncertainties appear in the problem modelling and their impacts on the optimal decision [16]. Scenario Reduction Method based on Output Performance for Condition-Based Maintenance...
A scenario-based questionnaire is a survey method that aims to identify the respondents' decision rules using their responses to a series of scenarios. It is rarely used in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS) with most researchers preferring a survey with closed questions as the data ...
This has two important implications.First, due to the legion of hypothetical scenarios, testing poses sharper questions and often elicits more precise answers.Second, the error probabilities associated with hypothetical reasoning are properly definedpost-dataas well, but those associated with factual reaso...
Firstly, the land use scale in 2020 was predicted based on the 2010 and 2015 land use data. After then, the land use scale in 2025 was obtained by taking the 2015 land use data and the predicted 2020 land use data as input historical data into FLUS model. In the same way, land use...
This forecast is based on all incoming and outgoing cash flows, mostly related to working capital necessary to finance operations. But it also looks at operational costs, taxes, financing flows and investments. Processing transactional data from hundreds of thousands of files leads to actio...
Based on the data I've seen, there is not an immediate and impending crisis; accordingly, there is no need for me to "save the world", and rushing around trying to do so would be an inefficient use of resources, particularly time. As I see things, there's a significant change that ...
The MESSAGEix modelling framework61, including its macroeconomic module MACRO, is available under an APACHE 2.0 open-source license at http://github.com/iiasa/message_ix. Data can be analysed online via a dedicated scenario explorer instance at https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/paris-lttg-explorer;...
With regard to the case study presented in this paper, the conceptual UHP model used is suitable for calculation of sce- nario effects in central Benin based on a poor data base. Only one of 15 SNR values is negative indicating a low suitability, 14 of 15 values are positive and 12 of...
The next section builds upon this introduction to address what scenario planning is and why it is applied. This is followed by an examination of some of the history of scenario planning in the transport sector before moving to the ten questions we address. To conclude, we contemplate the futur...
There are also many classifications of these various approaches to roadmapping, based on several dimensions including purpose of the exercise, context of use, focal unit of analysis, method and source of data capture, and the format for presenting findings. Garcia and Bray (1997) contrasted ...