Digital contact-tracing applications (DCTAs) can help control the spread of epidemics, such as the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. But people in Western societies fail to install DCTAs. Understanding the low use rate is key for policy makers who suppo
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Aims and scope Submit manuscript Michele Garagnani 2359 Accesses 1 Altmetric Explore all metrics Abstract This work reports the results of two online experiments with a general-population sample examining the performance of different tasks for the elicitation of risk ...
Cognitive limitations, coupled with the anxieties generated by facing life as a gamble, cause uncertainty to be denied, risks to be distorted, and statements of fact to be believed with unwarranted confidence(Slovic et al. 1979). People tend to fear a specific risk less as they become better...
and round 1 decisions in Time 2 were not significantly different from the baseline treatment or Time 1 at any conventional level, with the means being located between those of the other two treatments. Differences between these decisions in the second time treatment and Work are both found ...
In this paper we argue that such perspectives and definitions are too narrow. The probability component of the risk concept should be replaced by uncertainty. By jumping directly into probabilities, important uncertainty aspects could easily be overlooked or truncated. In the paper we point at ...
People differ in their willingness to take risks. Recent work found that revealed preference tasks (e.g., laboratory lotteries)—a dominant class of measures—are outperformed by survey-based stated preferences, which are more stable and predict real-wor
The world will see a "soft Brexit" and less uncertainty about political risks in the United States, despite the approaching 2020 general elections. Overall, political risks will increase in developed markets and see a slight decrease in emerging markets, eventually accelerating. Here are...
13,14 To our knowledge, no studies have yet conducted comparisons among different DOAC users, although doing so is important15 because prescribers and patients must decide among the various OAC options. Given present uncertainty regarding whether fracture risk differs according to type of OAC therapy...
It concludes that stress testing can support the measurement and management of both microprudential and macroprudential climate-related financial risks, but the benefits of stress testing vis-à-vis climate change and financial stability are largely unrealized. Addressing the disconnect between climate ...
In this regard, two main areas of uncertainty are analyzed: macroeconomic scenarios and internal circumstances under which insolvency may occur. The objective function may be defined on the basis of the bank’s capability to face its obligations both in the long term and in the short term. The...