The first, prescriptive, strand draws on probability theory and proposes decision theory as the rational way of best computing the uncertainties faced in making decisions. Potentially dangerous errors in reasoning commonly occur when such approaches are not used. The second, descriptive, research ...
Based on theoretical reasoning it can be shown that small effect sizes, error-prone tests, low priors of the tested hypotheses and biases in the evaluation and publication of research findings increase the fraction of false positives. These findings raise concerns about the reliability of research....
Case-based reasoning is the most preferred method for problem solving and decision making in ... PS Deng - 《European Journal of Operational Research》 被引量: 71发表: 1996年 RESEARCH AND APPLICATION OF ONTOLOGY MODELING FOR PRODUCT DESIGN BASED ON CASE REASONING The existing product design ...
People who tend to make such jumps in their reasoning often choose a bet in which they have low chances of winning instead of one where their chances are much better. To study jumping, researchers did an experiment to examine decision-making patterns among 600 people from the general ...
A neuroeconomic approach to characterize decision-making behavior reveals alterations in distinct valuation algorithms in a mouse model of diabetes, shedding light on the interaction between metabolic disorders, energy balance, and cognitive heuristics. ...
Inourownresearch,wehavefoundthathastyjudgmentsareoftenjustonepartoflargererror-pronepatternsinbehaviorandthinking.We'vealsofoundthatpeoplewhotendtomakesuch"jumps"intheirreasoningmayexperienceawiderangeofcosts.Tostudyjumpingtoconclusions,weworkedwithmorethan600peoplefromthegeneralpopulation.Becausemuchoftheworkonthis...
Behavioral decision research has developed considerably over the past 25 years, and now provides important insights into managerial behavior. Bazerman & M... M Bazerman,DA Moore - Wiley 被引量: 575发表: 1990年 The effects of accounting students' ethical reasoning and personal factors on their eth...
This model is successfully demonstrated, and can be used as a reference for the intelligence decision support system of urban fire case. 展开 关键词: urban fire case base case-based reasoning decision support system(DSS fire-fighting and rescue ...
In our own research,we have found that hasty judgments are often just one part of larger error-prone patterns in behavior and thinking.We've also found that people who tend to make such "jumps" in their reasoning may experience a wide range of costs. To study jumping to...
根据第五段中Others,thejumpers,stoppedafteronlyoneortwo.和第六段Wefoundthatthefewerfishaplayerneededtosee,themoreerrorsheorshemadeinotherbeliefs,reasoninganddecisions.可知,一个在游戏中看到较少的鱼就做出决定的玩家在其他的看法、推理和决定方面也会犯的错误更多。因此推断快速决策者在推理时往往会犯更多的...