underestimating Trump) in every battleground state. But the numbers from both 538 and Nate Silver were actuallyworsethan the RCP average, which is to say, their statistical models – which claim superior accuracy based on weighting different polls by “quality” – actually introduced more bias (a...
FiveThirtyEight, an expert on measuring and rating pollster performance, hasevaluated 772 polls by Rasmussen, indicating they are accurate 78% of the time or Mostly Factual. They also conclude that their polling favors the right with a score of +1.4, which equates to a Right-Center bias in p...
Why Polls Sometimes Show Different Results Little Day of Week Bias in Presidential Tracking Poll Latest Partisan Identification Estimates
-Hatred of the news mediamay be at an all-time high, and a majority of voters say media bias is still getting worse. - A strong majority of votersconsider inflation a very serious problem, and Republicans have a 16-point margin over Democrats in terms of who voters trust to handle ...
subsidiary Pulse Opinion Research. (Both sets of surveys used an essentially identical methodology.) Polls branded as Rasmussen Reports missed by an average of 5.9 points and had a 3.9-point bias. The polls it commissioned on behalf of Fox News had a 5.1 point error, and a 3.6 poin...
These government agencies are supposed to be politically independent, and historically, they have been filled with professionals devoid of bias. But when we see the errors all bending the data in the direction of benefiting one party, one has to wonder if this is deliberate ...
"But that was a very rare event," says Tierney. "Studies do not show any racial bias in police shootings. Taking one death and turning that into a 'national reckoning with race' was incredibly lucrative for activists." They raised more than $10 billion after George Floyd was killed. BLM...
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorshi...