We describe a dual-process theory of how individuals estimate the probabilities of unique events, such as Hillary Clinton becoming U.S. President. It postulates that uncertainty is a guide to improbability. In its computer implementation, an intuitive system 1 simulates evidence in men...
Alex Nekritin has been a professional trader for more than 10 years and is the founder and president of TradersChoiceFX.com. TradersChoiceFX is a forex-introducing brokerage firm that is able to enhance its clients' forex trading success by matching them up with the best fit forex ...
Although most students who had a partnership before their univer- sity closed were still with their partners at Wave 2, about 25% of students experienced their partnerships becoming long-distance while another 14.5% reported they and their partners had broken up. The potential changes in proximity...
Hurricane forecasts have improved greatly over the past few decades, becoming aboutthree times more accurateat predicting landfall locations. But this was a ridiculous, even dangerous tweet: The forecast was nowhere near precise enough to distinguish Tampa from St. Pete. For most of Irma’s existen...
Bio: Plastic surgeon, president of a regional society of plastic surgeons. What should we expect for timing and extent of elective surgeries? When/How will we get office based cosmetic treatments? All elective surgeries paused to focus on COVID-19 Loss of $50B/year in the US related to ele...
Bio: Plastic surgeon, president of a regional society of plastic surgeons. What should we expect for timing and extent of elective surgeries? When/How will we get office based cosmetic treatments? All elective surgeries paused to focus on COVID-19 Loss of $50B/year in the US related to ele...
the President of the United States signed a presidential “Proclamation on Suspension of Entry as Immigrants and Nonimmigrants of Persons who Pose a Risk of Transmitting 2019 Novel Coronavirusexternal icon.”These measures were announced at apress briefing by members of the President’s Coronavirus Tas...
In the first case, one can become certain of the truth-value of the proposition if one has the right data: who is the president of the United States. If one has to choose one's actions based on the truth (or falsity) of this proposition – whether it is appropriate, for example, ...
Question: Joe flipped a fair coin three times. What is the probability that he obtained no tails? a) 0.5 b) 50% c) 0.125 d) 0.25 The objective of the theory of games: The number of strategies classifies the games and determining rational behav...