Thyroid cancer was significantly more predictable in women (5-year PI of 2579 vs. 748, p = 0.00017) and bladder cancer more predictable in men (5-year PI of 723 vs. 385, p = 0.012), Predictability is a potentially new distinguishing feature of malignancy. This study...
Social structures influence human behavior, including their movement patterns. Indeed, latent information about an individual’s movement can be present in the mobility patterns of both acquaintances and strangers. We develop a “colocation” network to
We show that this seemingly innocent feature has far-reaching consequences for the predictability of such series. First, the series are predictable by construction. Second, conventional tests of predictability are less informative about the data-generating process than frequently assumed. Third, a ...
In its broadest sense, prediction refers to any type of process that uses information about the past or present to estimate the immediately relevant future. In the context of language comprehension,Footnote1readers encountering a phrase like “The day was breezy so the boy went outside to fly a...
Predicting the evolution of a large system of units using its structure of interaction is a fundamental problem in complex system theory. And so is the problem of reconstructing the structure of interaction from temporal observations. Here, we find an intricate relationship between predictability and ...
Throughout “Superforecasting”, the authors provide the human backgrounds of the forecasters whose results and methods feature in the book. The superforecasters have a wide variety of backgrounds and professional experience. What they have in common, however – and where they differ from the other...
This work informs the feature engineering decisions when deriving predictive models. 2.1 Research on popularity prediction on the web Popularity prediction as a scientific problem is, to some extent, a response to the age- old problem of information saturation [15]. Since its development, the ...
In this study, we examine the predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) track density in the subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) reforecast ensembles of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) using the method of average predictability tim
Predicting the evolution of a large system of units using its structure of interaction is a fundamental problem in complex system theory. And so is the problem of reconstructing the structure of interaction from temporal observations. Here, we find an intricate relationship between predictability and ...
Direct associations between stimulus words were controlled, and semantic feature overlap between prime and target words was manipulated by their common associates. The stimuli consisted of sentences of the form pronoun, verb, article, adjective and noun, followed by a series of closed class words, ...