Because of these challenges, and the importance of small area projections across the public and private sectors, it is useful to undertake an assessment of the current state of small area population forecast methodology, and offer some suggestions for research to extend and build on current methods...
The user of forecasts needs to know how far published estimates of future population can be relied on. The most compact way of describing accuracy is by showing the average error of past forecasts. From over a thousand comparisons of forecast with realization--nationalregional and global and cove...
(World Bank 2023). Declining rates of growth lead to an aging population, although the total population may be growing. The fast-growing world population has motivated a large number of studies on the effects of population growth on the economy and the environment and the optimal population ...
In 2023, almost half of Niger's population was under the age of 15. Similarly high are the percentages in the Central African Republic, Afghanistan, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. With most of the countries on the list located in Sub-Saharan Africa, it is also forecast that ...
Coastal communities are highly exposed to ocean- and -related hazards but often lack an accurate population and infrastructure database. On January 15, 2022 and for many days thereafter, the Kingdom of Tonga was cut off from the rest of the world by a de
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The model was able to forecast growth in the count of takeaways up to 2031 across all six LAs, with variable growth rates by RUC (min–max: 39.4-79.3%). Manchester (classified as a non-London urban with major conurbation LA) exhibited the highest forecast growth rate (79.3%, 95% CI...
In 2023, the median age of the population of the United States was 39.2 years. While this may seem quite young, the median age in 1960 was even younger, at 29.5 years. The aging population in the United States means that society is going to have to find a way to adapt to the larger...
higher penalties are applied to areas with more active population. The proposed weight was applied to two types of deep learning models, the long-and-short term temporal neural network (LSTNet) and temporal-graph convolutional network (T-GCN) to forecast the PM2.5 in 25 districts of Seoul Metr...
The share of under 16s in the overall population of the United Kingdom was 18.3 percent in 2023, compared with 25.5 percent in 1971.