This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including ...
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY ESTIMATE 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ ...
The next step is to calculate how much weight each poll should be given in our average. For really cool, but wonky, reasons you can read about in the footnotes,* our new presidential general election polling averages don't need to weight polls by several factors that we p...
Another reason for uncertainty? There are more polls than ever. The number of active public pollsters has more than doubled since 2000, according to Pew Research Center. Pair that with the emergence of rival polling averages, and it can be hard to even know what the polls are s...
This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2020 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. Use the sort to view the polls in different ways. Select a state name to see ...
Live Dow Jones Industrial Average Live Heavy lake effect snow and windy conditions in Northeast, latest on next cross-country winter storm Top Stories 3:19 New Orleans police don't believe any other suspects involved in attack 1 hour ago 5:54 FBI investigates deadly New Orleans truck attack as...
President: general election, 2024 Dec.16-18 7,000 RV B Morning Consult Biden 43% 42% DeSantis Biden +1 Dec.16-18 7,000 RV B Morning Consult Biden 43% 41% Trump Biden +2 avg. Indicates a polling average for this poll type Candidate is an incumbent Partisan types Democratic-funded Rep...
The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling average for the primary shows Trump up a whopping 48 points over Haley. “This is not about who’s going to win this primary,” Dulio said, arguing Haley is “nowhere near the conversation” for the GOP race. Instead, it’s about what hints the ...
Read the latest streaming news and analysis on Joe BIden and the 2020 Presidential Election. Follow today's top polls, candidates, primaries, fundraising, debates and more with POLITICO.
Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different. SourceDateSampleBidenTrumpJorgensenOther Poll Averages†52.5%39.5%3.5%- ...