decision in 2021 to make the district slightly more Republican in order to shore up other swing district incumbents that had better relationships with the party machinery than then-U.S. Rep. Tom Malinowski, Malinowski likely would have beaten Kean in the 2022 midterms. Instead, he lost...
This shift in Biden’s favor is also reflected in the battleground state polling. Newly released data from May shows Trump and Biden were statistically tied in a range of swing states, including Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Additionally, Trump led in Texas and Oh...
Moreover, these have been some of the fastest growing urban areas in the United States. The state's politics are thus typically in flux, with politicians having to reintroduce themselves to a whole new slate of voters every cycle. This already tempestuous political situation was thrown further ...
This suggests that most of the states, for whatever reason, moved away from Trump. It does not seem to support the idea that their was some unique fraud going on in the 6 states that Trump contested. Clicking on the Map tab will display the following page: This again shows that all...
The 2012 presidential map looks fairly similar to the one in 2008, or 2004, or 2000, for instance, but rather different from the one in 1996 or in years before that, when states now seen as locks for one party or the other were considered swing states instead. But if we should be ...