A new physics-based study finds that in the U.S., elections went through a transition in 1970, from a condition in whichelection resultscaptured reasonably well the greater electorate's political preferences, to a period of increasing instability, in which very small changes in voter preferences ...
These numbers can, supposedly, represent location with infinite accuracy, and therein lies the supposed potential for predictions that are infinitely accurate. Gisin’s penetrating insight is that this is a myth—in practice, no theory, no computer, no brain processes infinite information. This ...
The example Alex uses is people misunderstanding the wild swings in Nate Silver’s US election predictions. These don’t mean Silver’s model is horribly wrong. They’re happening because small shifts in the probability distribution can have a large effect on the expected outcome. ...
but it’s a lot harder to understand how we can be sure that there isn’t a “non-weird” explanation out there somewhere. Back in 1964, John Bell proved a theorem (Bell’s Theorem) that shows that if the predictions of quantum mechanics are correct, then it’s impossible for any loc...
Despite advanced predictions that 2007 would be the warmest year on record, made by such UN associates as Britain’s Hadley Centre, a government climate research agency, 2007 was the coolest year since at least 1993. According to the U. S. National Climatic Data Centre, the average ...
Holt – a physicist who served for 16 years as a Democrat in the House of Representatives – has been one of many voices to speak up for the value and integrity of science following the election of Donald Trump as US president. But as a new year dawns, a worrying time lies ahead for...
Rumble hostStew Peters called for the execution of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce. Media Matters found ads for the NFL appearing on Peters’ Twitter account, including one near a link to the video of his death threat. Fact-checking had a big moment between the 2020 election and the pandemic...