Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney's defeat in Pennsylvania in the 2012 elections. According to the author, Romney's campaign team failed to take advantage of the decline in his opponent, U.S. President Barack Obama's popularity. He states that Republicans were unable to deliver a ...
Getting at the “red mirage” idea, if we don’t get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania it’s easy to see Trump’s lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Same for GA senate racesCharlie ...
Map of PA Red Light Cameras, Speed Cameras, Right Turn Cameras & E-Z Pass Toll Road Camera Locations
Trump showdown could “scramble” the traditional red/blue map are probably overblown; political scientists1 John Sides and Andrew Gelman have found that over time, year-to-year swings between the states are getting smaller. That said, the ordering of the battleground states — from most ...
The question on both abortion, which advantages Democrats, and the border, which advantages Republicans, is how many voters outside of each party’s base are voting on those issues. In the polling here, Trump is certainly advantaged on the economy, but scores worse t...
For some reason, many people seem to think I’m not voting. For the record, that is NEVER my move. My typical approach is: “If you don’t have a candidate in this election, vote (as if) in the next one.” That usually means… ...
Parsing all of this is extremely challenging. Exit polls were always a bit suspect but are nigh unto useless in an era where huge numbers vote by mail and/or before Election Day. Traditionalists who vote the day of (which included all five voting members of my immediate family) are likely...
The final day of voting in the US is here, after tens of millions have already cast their ballots 3:11 a.m. Abortion is on the ballot in nine states and motivating voters across the US 2:54 a.m. A tiny village in India where Kamala Harris has ancestral roots is praying f...
red and well-educated suburbs trended more Democratic. Perhaps counterintuitively, the Pennsylvania special election suggests that the 2016 map has some staying power. Lamb outperformedHillary Clinton’s marginsby a nearly identical 19 points in white-collar Allegheny County and in Trump-loving, blue...
It’s just one of 25 counties in the country to back Barack Obama twice, then turn red for Donald Trump in 2016 before Joe Biden narrowly carried it four years ago. Students face enormous voting line near Lehigh University in Pennsylvania Share This...