简单来说就是,他们搞了一套新的超额死亡估算模型(图一),原文传送门:blog.ons.gov.uk/2024/02/15/excess-deaths-a-new-methodology-and-better-understanding/至于新模型具体是什么造型?详见图二,原文只提到一句不再采用粗数据均值作为基线,并会考虑人口年龄增长和季节性因素,然后就不再进一步解释啦……...
Jodie Withers, Health Analysis and Life Events at ONS, said: "While there has been an increase in excess winter deaths making the total the second highest over the last five winter periods, the number does not exceed the peak that was observed in the 2014 to 2015 winter period. The increa...
For continental heat extremes, we use the metric heat excess, which takes into account both heatwave intensity and persistence into one single metric (Perkins-Kirkpatrick & Lewis,2020). To calculate heat excess, we identify heatwaves on a grid-point level when daily maximum near-surface air temp...
This excess mortality was accounted for by their low socioeconomic status. Within the Black Caribbean population, the UK-born individuals had significantly higher mortality than those born abroad whether or not the estimates were adjusted for socioeconomic status and metropolitan residence. Adjusting ...
The figure of more than 34,000 excess deaths last winter, is much lower than the extra number of people who died in the winter of 1950 in Britain when more than 100,000 people died above the average death rates. Currently thousands of elderly and vulnerable people in Britain are being giv...