“hot” — that is, a team’s Elo rating is not set in stone throughout the simulation but changes after each simulated game based on its result, which is then used to simulate the next game, and so forth. This allows us to better capture the possible variation in how a team’s ...
We’re trying to tell a story within these predictions, and the one I’m trying to tell with the 49ers is one of vulnerability. Age. Time. And big looming decisions on the future of the quarterback position. San Francisco is never going to be awful with this collection of star power, ...
Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com'sNFL simulation enginegenerates predictions and box scores for every NFL game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team's likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 501 times. To account for i...
Q: How complex will the initial simulation be? A: We'll start with a simple 50-50 simulation and incrementally add complexity, incorporating factors like ELO ratings, home/away advantage, and rest days. Q: How will strategies be generated? A: For Phase 2, strategies will be generated compl...
then we’ll simulate the week’s match-ups using the Franchise Owner mode. We’ll record the simulation’s scores, its best players of the week, and the injury reports, then post these results each Saturday. This makes the Thursday game something of a litmus test– you can use this info...
Madden NFL predicted the Patriots would rally late in the fourth quarter of last year’s Super Bowl , including overcoming a 10-point deficit in the third quarter. The game also predicted Matt Ryan would throw two touchdowns and the final score. ...
Well, it's just one simulation, but we can tell you how it plays out in World No. 5,899. The Cowboys knock out the Eagles in the divisional round, ending Philadelphia's tremendous season. That sets up the Cowboys against the 49ers in the NFC C...
Welcome to my first official Round 1 simulation of the 2021 NFL Draft! My analytics-based mock is based solely on a contextual, data-driven model that aims to do one thing: maximize each team's potential to win as many games as possible in 2021. So, before you read any further, take...
Readers including Jacqueline Morton of Austin, Texas, protested that although I chided the Longhorns for gimmicking their sked, I said nothing about press-corps-sentimental-favorite TCU. The Horned Frogs essentially playseven at home, five away-- their "neutral site" game versus Oregon State was...
Reaching the NFL Playoffs Based on Week One Results: A Probability Model with Simulation We consider the question of how important winning the first game of the season is to making the playoffs for an NFL team. We analyze this question both sta... Boyd,Peter - 《Rose Hulman Undergraduate Ma...