In order to improve NCEP GEFS forecast uncertainty and skill of surface elements, many stochastic physics schemes have been tested for future implementation. Meanwhile, stochastic parameterization for deep convection, cloud physics, radiations, boundary layer, land surface, SST and others are in plan ...
Jiangsu coastal region. The accuracy of wave height and direction forecasts on high wave days decreases and increases, respectively. Under extreme weather conditions, the global forecasting system also demonstrates capability to forecast wind around the Yangtze River estuary, but the timing of maximum w...
The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) was designed and executed as a global, high-resolution, coupl...
NCEP是全球集合预报系统的先驱,于1963年开发出了世界上第一个EPS系统,名为GEFS(Global Ensemble Forecast System)。GEFS以多模式集合预报方法为基础,通过向初始条件和模型参数引入一定的随机扰动,产生多个初始场和模拟结果,以得到多个可能的将来演变路径。GEFS系统在气象猜测中具有重要意义,为气象预报领域的集合预报技术的...
主要产品列表: 也可用FTP地址下载: ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/gfs/prod/ 近几年历史预报数据下载: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/global-forecast-system/ https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/weather-climate-models/global-forecast
The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) was designed and executed as a global, high-resolution, coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface-sea …
Range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)于1992年12月分别建立了各自的全球集合预报系统(global ensemble forecast system,GEFS),加拿大气象中心(Canadian Meteorological Centre,CMC)的集合预报业务也于1998年2月建成,它们是目前最具代表性的GEFS,ECMWF和CMC称其为GEPS(global ensemble prediction system),为叙述方便,本文统一称为...
The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) was designed and executed as a global, high-resolution, coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface-sea ice system to provide the best estimate of the state of these coupled domains over the 32-year period...
(NCEP/NOAA) global forecasting system. The results show that compared with the previous generation version of the NCEP/NOAA global forecasting system, the current version improves significantly in wind forecasts. The wind speed forecast error outside the Yangtze River estuary is greater than that in...
大气科学,36(1):170— 184.ZhangYin,LuoYali,GuanZhaoyong.2012.Temperature,relativehumidity,andcloudfractionpredictedby theNCEP global forecast systemattheARMS站,3Psiteduring2001—2008:Comparison withARMobservations[J].ChineseJournalofAtmosphericSciences(in Chinese),36 (1):170—184. NCEP全球预报系统在...