In this article we improve these probability models by taking advantage of external information concerning the relative strengths of the teams and the point spreads available at the start of the tournament for the first round games. The result is a collection of regional championship probabilities ...
Ethan Miller/Getty Images TheDuke Blue Devilsare favored to cut down the nets in Minneapolis, but there are plenty of games to play before the Final Four. Here are the betting lines for every first-round game from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. For help with every selection, be sure to...
UVA also plays at the slowest pace in the country and limits the total amount of possessions played, which impacts my projected point spreads in its games more severely than the norm. If this line continues dropping (opened -24.5) then I will be getting involved on the Cavaliers side...
According to the point spreads, the four biggest upsets by underdogs expected to lose by at least 20 points: Farleigh Dickinson in 2023, Norfolk State in 2012, UMBC in 2018 and Santa Clara in 1993. Why is the NCAA tournament called March Madness? According to the NCA...
TheMontana Grizzliesaren’t great defensively and will have a really hard time dealing with all the Badgers’ screening and movement. The Grizzlies struggle to match up in isolation sets and Wisconsin thrives on creating those one-on-one options. Game models call for as high as a 19-point wi...
Point Spread Point spread betting focuses on the margin of victory. If Kentucky is -7.5 vs Florida, they must win by 8+ to cover. If Florida loses by 7 or less—or wins outright—that bet cashes. Spreads help even the odds between strong and weak teams. Expert Tip: Consider closing st...
Once the field of 68 teams is released on Selection Sunday, oddsmakers get to work setting point spreads, Over/Under totals, and additionalMarch Madness oddsfor each tournament matchup in the First Four as well as the Round of 64.
These are simply the implied ratings based on the Vegas (or, more specifically, the Golden Nugget) points spreads; nothing more, nothing less. Below are the ratings for 51 college football teams. In the table below, I’ve included the number of games for which we have point spreads for ...
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia. ...
Marshall said in the men’s field double-digit seeds UC San Diego, Akron, High Point, Grand Canyon and Colorado State are worth considering picking for first-round victories when filling out a bracket. The tightest point spreads at BetMGM among those teams is a pair of 5-12 matchups. Colo...