ABC News(Disney子公司)把538的Nate Silver laid off了。Nate Silver是美国大选统计专家,538是他自己建的网站,报道大选统计结果并对下次选举进行预测,后来被ABC News收购。作为538的老读者和听众,我不得不说,自2018年中期选举之后,Nate Silver是整个538团队里最差,最不负责,说话最不讲证据的。尤其是过去两年,他...
Nate Silver Statistician, Author, and Founder of Silver Bulletin About Nate Silver is the founder and former editor-in-chief (2008-2023) of FiveThirtyEight, which was published by The New York Times, ESPN, and ABC News. FiveThirtyEight first gained national attention during the 2008 presidential ...
“Unfortunately the day we’ve been worried about has arrived,” Silver wrote to his staff,according to the Hollywood Reporter, alluding to a recent round of financial hardships and layoffs that have impacted ABC and its parent company. “We don’t yet know the scope of these layoffs, exactl...
Silver would build 538 into a major website and sold it to ESPN, which is owned by Disney, in 2013. It would later be taken over by ABC News, another Disney-owned media outlet. The poker player would remain with the website as its editor-in-chief until 2023 when he announced his ro...
Nate Silver @natesilver538 Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.” Apr. 25, 2023 What To Do About A Problem Like Dianne Feinstein?
这次大选,让我意识到同样是Nate,538的Nate Silver比NYT Needle的Nate Cohn差多了。在538心中,票都是一样的数字,但在Needle这边,每次开票本身都是复杂的人口和党派归属特征。这次大选,几乎是Nate Cohn(右)为Nate Silver(左)挽回了最后的专业脸面。 美国大选 美国总统 赞...
journalists have attempted to survey its members en masse. If one of the complaints about the Oscars is that the winners, at least in the big categories, have become too predictable, it doesn’t benefit either the Academy or ABC to help Silver eliminate some of the suspense that does ...
① 民调公司FiveThirtyEight(由ABC新闻公司所有)的“著名”预测大师Nate Silver再发预测,称民主党有75%的机会在中期选举中重夺众议院;其预测民主党将最终赢得230个众议院席位,共和党将赢得205个。此外还有6个空缺; ② 如果按照上述预测所显示的那样,特朗普共和党以10-35个席位输掉众议院。这可能导致相关的重大立法将不...