energypricesandsupplyfactorscontributerelativelylittletopriceforecasts. Weeklyanddailyhigh-frequencyvariablescanprovidemoreinformationforoil priceforecastingandimprovetheabilitytoforecastoilprices. Whenanalyzingtheinfluencingfactorsofinternationalcrudeoilprices,this paperfullyconsiderstheinfluenceoffundamentalandnon-fundamental,...
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Thus, to forecast monthly oil price volatility, our initial sample size is 119 months and the last 148 months are used to evaluate the out-of-sample volatility forecasts. Since 2005/2006 onwards oil prices started to reach much higher price levels which would change the behaviour of volatility...
(2) In addition to shipping freight and international crude oil prices,all economic variables have significant and stable effects on the volatility of various coal futures markets, specifically:The year-on-year change in industrial producer prices (PPI),manufacturing purchasing managers' index(PMI), ...
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Midas as a franchise, needs to get their act together in terms of pricing for us to sell to customers. Every week it seems there's something new where they want you to sell at different prices. Nothing is consistent, and that causes confusion from customers and other workers ...
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Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work In recent years there has been an increased interest in the link between financial markets and oil markets, including the question of whether financial mar... C Baumeister,Guerin, Pierre,L Kilian - 《International...