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For Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes of Kentucky, the odds fell from 23 percent to 2 percent. As we’ve written before, the polls often converge toward the “fundamentals” in a state over the course of the election, and particularly its overall partisan orientation. The fact that so many ...
首先,对“是否参与”问题而言,年龄与政治参与的关系呈现“倒U”形,中年人群的投票参与率显著高于青年与老年人群(Crittenden, 1963),当然也有研究认为即便老年,个体的参与兴趣与投票率也不会有显著变化(Glenn and Grimes, 1968);年龄不仅与投...