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rising fromJanuary’s estimate— the first increase in three months. Today’s revised forecast (based on three models defined below) points to a 6.8% annualized return for the unmanaged benchmark, which holds all themajor asset classes(except cash) based on market weights via a set of ETF...
We need not assume that markets are always in equilibrium to find an equilibrium approach useful. Rather, we view the world as a complex, highly random system in which there is a constant barrage of new data and shocks to existing valuations that as often as not knock the system away from...
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The gap narrowed in July between the expected return for the Global Market Index (GMI) and its trailing 10-year realized performance. Today’s revised long-run forecast for GMI, a global, multi-asset-class benchmark, ticked up to an annualized 6.5% fromlast month’s estimatewhile its traili...
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