作者: 转:拉姆斯菲尔德以前讲过一段闻名全美国的话,大概的意思是每个人的认知世界存在三个圈层,第一个是“已知的已知”(known knowns),知道自己知道;”第二是“已知的未知”(known unknowns),知道自己不知道;第三个是“未知的未知”( unknown unknowns),不知道自己不知道。 很讽刺的是,他说这番话的场合,是20...
5 Known knowns “there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns, the ones we don’t know we don’t know. And if one looks through...
Even the president recalled it with a chuckle as he announced the nomination of Robert Gates to replace Rumsfeld: "Don once famously said, 'There are known knowns; there are known unknowns; and there are unknown unknowns,'" said Bush. "Well, Mr. Secretary, here is a known known: Your ...
“known”和“unknown”在上图中作形容词,意思是“已知的”和“未知的”。 “knowns”在此处可理解为名词,“已知的事物”;“unknowns”在上图中作名词,“未知的事物”。 生活当中的大部分事情都可以归纳为这四类: ⓵ “已知的已知”,我们知道的并能理解的事物。 例如,我知道“一树梨花压海棠”出自苏轼之...
Known Knowns, Known Unknowns, and Unknown Unknowns: Late 20th Century Archival Silences and the History of Medical Science in UgandaIn a study of changing practices of knowledge production at the Uganda Virus Research Institute (UVRI) since 1936, I have been confronted with the question of h...
there are known knowns,there are also unknown unknows. 相关知识点: 试题来源: 解析 有些事我们知道自己知道,不过也有些不可知的事我们并不知晓.出自《智慧拾零——拉姆斯菲尔德的存在主义诗集(Pieces of Intelligence :The Existential Poetry of Donald H.Rumsfeld)》 《不可知》(The Unknown)原... ...
Known Knowns, Known Unknowns, Unknown Unknowns, and Unknown Knowns。 ——美国前国防部长唐纳德·拉姆斯菲尔德 向前看(Way Forward)是一种研究方法;从研究领域的角度,本世纪五十年代以来,“预测学”渐渐地形成了一门独立的学科。现在还有大数据、人工智能等,似乎更能预知“未来”。已有的关于“未来”的知识,早已嵌...
作者: 已经察觉到的已知风险(known Knowns) 尚未察觉到的已知风险(Unknown Knowns) 已经察觉到的未知风险(Known Unknowns) 没有察觉到的未知风险(Unknown Unknowns)
据我们所知,有“已知的已知”(known knowns),有些事,我们知道我们知道;我们也知道,有“已知的未知”(known unknowns),也就是说,有些事,我们现在知道我们不知道。但是,同样存在“未知的未知”(unknown unknowns)——有些事,我们不知道我们不知道。
(2011) Known knowns, known unknowns, unknown unknowns: ThePredicament of Evidence-based Policy. American Journal of Evalua... V Pattyn - Jun-2013 被引量: 0发表: 2013年 Known knowns, known unknowns, unknown unknowns and the propagation of scientific enquiry The author comments on a study ...