Finally, experience confirms there is an optimism bias in debt projections. Analysis covering the period between 1990 and 2021 shows that realized debt-to-GDP ratios in many countries tend to be significantly higher than projected over ...
WASHINGTON, Sept. 29 (Xinhua) -- The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated on Thursday that it maintains its expectation that China will achieve its growth target of approximately 5 percent in 2023. "On China, what we have seen recently is a slowdown in the economy since the first quarte...
WASHINGTON, Sept. 29 (Xinhua) -- The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated on Thursday that it maintains its expectation that China will achieve its growth target of approximately 5 percent in 2023. "On China, what we have seen recently is a slowdown in the economy since the first quarte...
在发出全球经济将进一步衰退的警告的同时,国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁表示将第二次下调2023年的全球经济增长预期。"So what is happening is we have downgraded three times since October last year our growth projections.“目前的情况是,自去年10月以来,我们已经三次下调了全球经济增长预期。Last time we brought...
Figure1.1.1.Five-Year-AheadGrowthProjections26 Figure1.1.2.Five-Year-AheadGrowthProjections:CountryGroups26 Figure1.1.3.ProjectedGrowthDecelerationintheLargestEconomies27 Figure1.1.4.PerCapitaGrowthForecastDecomposition28 Figure1.1.5.Medium-TermGrowthandIncomeConvergence29 Figure1.2.1.DistributionofForecastUncertai...
growth projections – crises and pandemics are unforecastable --and realized fiscal adjustments that fall far short of plans. This bias can be seen in Europe, with outcomes exceeding forecasts significantly over a 5-year horizon. If history were to repeat itself, debt could rise by 8-11 ...
Overall, the IMF's July outlook raised growth projections for emerging markets and developing economies to 4.3 percent for 2024. Citing a rise in Europe's services businesses, the IMF raised its 2024 growth forecast for the 20 countries that share the euro currency by a tenth of a percentage...
The IMF has downgraded its growth projections already three times since October last year, to only 3.2 percent for 2022 and 2.9 percent for 2023, the IMF chief said, adding that the global institution will downgrade growth for next year in its updated World Economic Outlook next week. ...
The latest projections also indicate an overall slowdown in medium-term growth forecasts. Five-year growth projections have declined steadily from 4.6 percent in 2011 to 3 percent in 2023, the lowest forecast since 1990. Cross-border effects ...
The latest projections also indicate an overall slowdown in medium-term growth forecasts. Five-year growth projections have declined steadily from 4.6 percent in 2011 to 3 percent in 2023, the lowest forecast since 1990. Cross-border effects ...