国际货币基金组织（IMF）警告，世界即将走向“地缘经济分裂失控”的危险滑坡。上周日，国际货币基金组织在一份报告中指出，“贸易碎片化（fragmentation）”可能使世界损失高达7%的GDP——相当于日本和德国的GDP总和。如果再加上技术脱钩，损失可能高达12%。报告称，尽管经济一体化已经使全球经济规模自冷战结束以来增长了约...
无论是由于模型输出不准确,还是因为涉及未经授权的客户数据使用,生成式 AI 的使用失误都可能严重影响金融机构的公众形象和市场信任度。 6. 新兴市场和发展中经济体的碎片化(EMDE fragmentation):生成式 AI 的广泛应用可能加剧发达经济体对新兴市场和发展中经济体的冲击。AI 模型对市场波动更为敏感,尤其是在跨多个资产...
Thus far, today’s fragmentation is not significantly different from the initial years of the Cold War. However, compared to the average “between-bloc trade shortfall” during the entire Cold War period, fragmentation so far i...
无论是由于模型输出不准确,还是因为涉及未经授权的客户数据使用,生成式AI的使用失误都可能严重影响金融机构的公众形象和市场信任度。 6.新兴市场和发展中经济体的碎片化(EMDE fragmentation):生成式AI的广泛应用可能加剧发达经济体对新兴市场和发展中经济体的冲击。AI模型对市场波动更为敏感,尤其是在跨多个资产类别进行管...
而且根据英国央行行长在2019年8月的报告，货币战争是直接进入第四场景，而没有经过第二场景或是第三场景，而且带来世界金融市场的割裂（fragmentation）。使用合成霸权数字货币“将来在执行上必定会有许多挑战，尤其是跨数字货币区域的碎片化风险”（原文是there would be many execution challenges, not least the risk ...
One thing is clear: predictability will facilitate integration, whereas excessive discretion will likely increase the risk of fragmentation. This may well be the steepest part of our climb. When it comes to governance, countries will ultimately decide. ...
A severe fragmentation of the global economy after decades of increasing economic integration could reduce global economic output by up to 7 percent. However, the losses could reach 8 to 12 percent in some countries, if technology is also decoupled,
IMF于15日发布报告警告全球碎片化（fragmentation）可能会使几十年来的经济全球化功亏一篑，该机构研究表明，越是分裂，代价越高。仅就贸易碎片化的长期成本而言，在严重情形下，可能导致全球经济产出减少7%，相当于德国和日本的年产出总和，在有限分裂情形下，全球GDP也会收缩0.2%。如果叠加技术脱钩，一些国家的经济...
Thus far, today’s fragmentation is not significantly different from the initial years of the Cold War. However, compared to the average “between-bloc trade shortfall” during the entire Cold War period, fragmentation so far is an order of magnitude smaller. ...
there is a substantial risk that the more volatile supply shocks of the pandemic era will persist. Despite a considerable easing of pandemic-related supply pressures, the restructuring of global supply chains that was intensified by the pandemic and war, coupled with geo-economic fragmentation, may...