2024.The views expressed in this publication are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMFs cutive Directors or their national authorities.Recommended citationInternational Monetary Fund.2024.World Economic OutlookSteady but SlowResilience amid Divergence.Washington,DC....
Growthresilientinmajoreconomies.Economicgrowthisestimatedtohavebeenstrongerthanexpectedin thesecondhalfof2023intheUnitedStates,andseveralmajoremergingmarketanddeveloping economies.Inseveralcases,governmentandprivatespendingcontributedtotheupswing,withreal disposableincomegainssupportingconsumptionamidstill-tight––thougheasing...
June2023 IMFWorkingPapersdescriberesearchinprogressbytheauthor(s)andarepublishedto elicitcommentsandtoencouragedebate.TheviewsexpressedinIMFWorkingPapersare thoseoftheauthor(s)anddonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheIMF,itsExecutiveBoard, orIMFmanagement. ...
Localprojectionsareinadditionestimateddecomposinginflation(GDPdeflatorgrowth)intosurpriseandexpectedcomponents.Expectedinflationisdefinedastheone-year-aheadforecastmadeasofoneyearago.Surpriseinflationequalsrealizedminusexpectedinflation.Thetwoinflationcomponents (surpriseandexpected)areincludedasregressorsinthesamelocalprojection...
GDP 80Figure 3.10.Decomposition of Cumulative Change in Debt to GDP 83Figure 3.1.1.Empirical Impulse Response upon Structural Res 86Figure 3.2.1.Estimated Response of Effective Real Interest Rate 87Figure 4.1.“Slowbalization”92Figure 4.2.Rising Geopolitical Tensions and Foreign Direct Investment ...
According to IMF estimates, $418 billion in (public and private) investment is necessary to bring connectivity to unconnected households globally (Oughton, Amaglobeli, and Moszoro 2023). On average, this equals 3.5 percent of GDP in low-income developing countries and 0.7 percent of GDP in ...
The Wild West was a tough place. With few sheriffs around, and limited legislation and regulation, it was a land of crashes and criminals. Money laundering and other illicit activity has been estimated in the tens of billions of dollars...
points to real GDP growth in 2023. Strength of the US economy was an upside surprise last year, and it helped drive global growth forward. But even in that circumstance, we comprised of less than one-seventh of total growth, and I think about a quarter of growth at market exchange rates...
Commerce and Industry Ministry has said that India’s overall exports in September this year are estimated to be 61.10 billion US dollar showing a growth of 10.24 percent over the same period last year. 工商部表示,印度今年9月的整体出口额预计为6110亿美元,比去年同期增长10.24%。
estimated at 3.2 percent in 2023,is projected to continue at the same pace in 2024 and 2025.The forecast for 2024 is revised up by 0.1 per-centage point from the January 2024 World Economic Outlook(WEO)Update,and by 0.3 percentage point from the October 127、 2023 WEO.The pace of ...