the track guidance is that that the GFS and HWRF models turn the system move westward after 60 h and wind up to the north of the rest of the guidance. Overall, the new forecast track is little changed from the previous track and lies near the consensus models. Rafael should continue to ...
Here’s why spaghetti models are important forecasting tools for tropical systemsRead full article: Here’s why spaghetti models are important forecasting tools for tropical systems Breaking down things you may hear during hurricane season What’s landfall? Other tropical terms to know for hurricane...
(Courtesy of NOAA, projected pathway and intensity of Hurricane Harvey) Harvey is continuing on a northwest track and moving at a fairly slow speed of around 10 mph. This will slow even more in the coming hours before making landfall along the Texas coastline. Additionally, by early next week...
You may have seen some spaghetti models showing Idalia looping back to hit Florida after it exits the US Thursday. A track like this isn’t impossible, but it’s highly unlikely. An eastward course across the Atlantic is the most likely scenario, as evidenced by the National Hurricane cent...