Modelling of Hurricane Tracks 6Buchman, Susan MLee, Ann BSchafer, Chad M
The model that Lee and her colleagues have created draws on this hybrid statistical-dynamical approach, but predicts storm intensity in a new way, incorporating a methodology the team developed in 2016 that captures the frequency of major storms such as Hurricane Maria and the way they rapidly in...
The stormwindmodel package was created to allow users to model wind speeds at grid points in the United States based on “best tracks” hurricane tracking data, using a model for wind speed developed by Willoughby and coauthors (2006). The package includes functions for interpolating hurricane tr...
These changes in OHC may have also been influenced by other TCs in August (Franklin) and September (Irma, Katia) while still others affected the areas farther east (Gert, Jose, Lee, and Maria) in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean in September. These effects add to the uncertainty of our ...
The shape of the mother wavelet was a chi-squared test55 asgeatintostmaobralectkwgriothunadwoafvwe hniutemnboeirseω. 0I =n 6 o.rdSeigrntioficcaanpctue rleevienltserw-aenrenucaallc(uElaNteSdO)usainndg interdecadal (AMO/ENSO) variability within the timeseries, the high and low ...
Schafer. High-dimensional Density Estimation via SCA: An Example in the Modelling of Hurricane Tracks. ArXiv e-prints, Jul 2009.Buchman, S. M., Lee, A. B., and Schafer, C. M. (2009), "High-dimensional density estimation via SCA: An example in the modelling of hurricane tracks," ...
For the locations of hurricane tracks within the 50 m isobath (Fig. 2a), we found the corresponding TSM for the week of the hurricanes, a week before the hurricanes, and up to two weeks after (more details in Methods). With these TSM values, we averaged the available data in each ...
Florence produced 31 tornadoes over the Carolinas, including 21 rated as EF0 (winds of 65 to 85 mph) and 10 rated as EF1 (86 to 110 mph), occurring on September 15 and 16. Below is a map of tornado tracks covering both days, along with a link to the SPC Historical Severe Weather ...
Police Chief Lee Bercaw told reporters water was coming into the house. The officers were sheltering less than two miles away when the 911 call came in and raced to get the people out as soon as there was a break in Milton's storm bands. ...
Far less favourable for TC tracks are negative SSTAs and even when the wind shear anomalies are clearly negative we only find few hurricane track points in the corresponding quadrant. The relationships between SSTA and vertical shear, and number of tropical cyclones are significant, with correlation...