A similar predictor was utilized in earlier August seasonal forecast models (Klotzbach 2007,Klotzbach 2011). Anomalously warm SSTs in the subtropical North Atlantic are associated with a positive phase of the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM), a northward-shifted Intertropical Convergence Zone, and consequ...
12H ago Tropical Storm Alvin could be brewing in eastern Pacific, forecasters say 13H ago Trump asks Supreme Court to intervene in fight over deportations to third countries 12H ago Trump Media strikes $2.5 billion deal to buy bitcoins. Here's why. 13H ago U...
Forecasters Predict ‘Extremely Active’ 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season More Reuters FILE PHOTO: An American flag is seen amidst the wreckage of Darlene Powell’s home after the arrival of Hurricane Idalia in Horseshoe Beach, Florida, U.S., August 31, 2023. REUTERS/Cheney Orr/File P...
Hurricane maps show the projected path of the storm and its impacts. Hurricane Idalia's projected path as of 5 a.m. on August 30, 2023National Hurricane Center What category of storm will Hurricane Idalia be? Hurricane Idalia was aCategory 4 hurricanefor a few hours overnight Wednesday the...
Canada saw more storm threats than Florida in 2023 This year’s hurricane season began in mid-January with Subtropical Storm One, an unnamed system that formed halfway between Bermuda and Nova Scotia. Forecasters with the U.S. Na...
Forecasterspredict this year’s Atlantic hurricane season will be extremely active with 23 named storms, 11 expected to rise to hurricane status and five are predicted to be major hurricanes. Penske offers the following advice to consumers and commercial customers about what to do before a storm ...
50 years later, the 2023 hurricane season saw a threefold improvement to just 213 km. Consider that weather models were off by more than 450 km just three days before Hurricane Andrew slammed into southern Florida as a Category 5 in 1992. Forecasters were only able to...
Tropical storm activity in the Atlantic is expected to be exceptionally busy this year, with experts predicting a total of 17 to 25 named storms, “the highest NOAA has ever issued.”
the forecast becomes increasingly complex as the El Niño across the Pacific continues to mature into the peak of the season. While increased storm activity is favored through the first half of September, it'll be crucial to see if El Niño allows for the return of increased shear (which...
The TSR statistical seasonal hurricane forecast model divides the North Atlantic into three regions and employs separate forecast models for each region before summing the regional hurricane forecasts to obtain an overall forecast. For two of these three regions (tropical North Atlantic, and the ...