Basketball games often include runs where one team outperforms the other for short periods.Momentum swingscan impact not only player morale but also the game’s final outcome. Understanding a team’s ability to bounce back from a deficit or maintain a lead is key. You can gauge this ability ...
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These numbers add up at the team level to reflect how we predict that a team’s ratings will change in the wake of a given result. The advantage of this is that we can provide an instant update to the model as soon as a game ends. However, since these estimates are stopgaps, they...
The defense has been a sore spot for the Hawkeyes who are tied for fifth in the Big Ten in allowing 75.1 PPG while being in the bottom half in three-point percentage (32.1%), rebounding (39.8 RPG) and turnovers (16.6 per game). It’s tough t...
Teams whose win total is 10 or more lower than their previous season wins are 20-10 to the under. (The logic is that the market can accurately predict when teams are going to fall off) How It Goes Over Leonard has a season of mostly availability closer to last year. Harden plays floor...
If you’re a big basketball fan, you’ve probably placed a parlay bet or two. You might not know what it means, but the concept is pretty simple: instead of betting on each game individually, parlaying bets allows you to place one bet and have it paid out if any of your selected ...
FiveThirtyEight has an admitted fondness for the Elo rating— a simple system that judges teams or players based on head-to-head results — and we’ve used it to rate competitors in basketball, baseball, tennis and various other sports over the years. The sport we cut our teeth on, though...
In over/under sports betting, your goal is to correctly predict outcomes like whether the final score will be over or under that set number. For example, in a basketball game, the over/under total may be set at 200.5 points. If you place a wager on the over, you are betting that the...
In July 2023, it was revealed that basketball was the most popular sport among US bettors. In fact, 52.7% of respondents to a survey revealed that they preferred to wager on basketball and the NBA, which unlocks significant betting markets and in-game micro bets!
The first step in understanding how to bet on the NBA finals and regular-season games is to learn the difference between each type of wager. If you've bet on other sports before, you'll see many similarities, though some things are unique to basketball. ...