President-electDonald Trump, who defeated Vice PresidentKamala Harrisin the2024 presidential election, holdsa leadof about 2.5 million votes nationwide — but it's not the popular vote that decides the presidency, it's theoutcomeof theElectoral College. There are 538 votes in the Electoral College...
if you believe Trump is a threat to democracy, it should seem like a no-brainer to say that you would vote for the candidate who has thebest chance to defeat him. But as a Republican consultant, I can assure you it's never that simple. ...
Economic models point to a Trump blowout in 2020. But a faltering economy or giant scandal could change everything.
2016, which accounted forroughly 7 percent of all votes cast. In the grand scheme of things, that’s not a lot of people, but these voters probablydidplay a role in helping President Trump get elected because around three-quarters of those voters swung toward him rather than Hillary Clinton...
Similar to the grid of maps, the ball swarm shows readers 100 representative electoral outcomes from our model. The dots huddle on an x-axis showing how many votes a candidate wins the Electoral College by in each scenario. Hover over each of the dots to see how the map shook out in th...
Trump has reasons to be optimistic. He almost never led in any polls during the 2020 election cycle, yet he still came within a few thousand votes of pulling off a second narrow Electoral College victory. In contrast, he now leads in nearly every national poll. He al...
ABC News’ political director and Washington bureau chief Rick Klein breaks down the latest polling data and how former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris could win the election. November 1, 2024 Additional Live Streams Live ABC News Live Live Rain returns to southern California...
Trump made improvements almost everywhere, receiving 3m more votes than he did in 2020, but despite the warnings of what was at stake at this election, the final number of people to cast a ballot was lower than in 2020. The Democrat vote is down around 6 million, while Trump's vote was...
That figure is reflective of "the number of votes cast for each candidate," she said. "Those numbers come from the scanners. And those scanners are totally anonymous. It's just the votes cast for individual candidates." "What the counties are doing now," she continued, "is st...
Step 2: Figure out how people's vote intentions are related to key characteristics, including age, gender, race, education, past votes and where they live. Each voter has a "profile." For example, one profile may be a 56-year-old, white male, who didn't graduate college and lives in...