Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requireme
largely due to greenhouse gases produced by human activities. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which includes more than 1,300 scientists from the United States and other countries, forecasts a temperature rise of 2.5 to 10 degrees Fahre...
Dramatic and substantive projected increases of climate change impacts upon ecosystems are revealed with increasing annual global mean temperature rise above the pre-industrial mean (ΔT g ). Substantial negative impacts are commonly projected as ΔT g reaches and exceeds 2°C, especially in ...
The 2015 Paris Agreement calls for countries to pursue efforts to limit global-mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C. The transition pathways that can meet such a target have not, however, been extensively explored. Here we describe scenarios that limit end-of-century radiative forcing to 1.9 ...
Driven by these emissions, greenhouse gas concentrations rise substantially over time leading to a radiative forcing of about 7.2 W/m2 by 2100. The global mean temperature increase in 2100 in the baseline scenario is according to the IMAGE model about 4°C above pre-industrial levels, assuming ...
China signed the agreement supporting these global targets, and retained the option to “strengthen the long-term global goal on the basis of best available scientific knowledge, including in relation to a global average temperature rise of 2 °C and 1.5 °C”. Moreover, the IPCC 5th ...
Investigating future changes in temperature-related mortality as a function of global mean temperature (GMT) rise allows for the evaluation of policy-relevant climate change targets. So far, only few studies have taken this approach, and, in particular, no such assessments exist for Germany, the ...
The resulting ocean warming and thermal expansion are leading contributors to global mean sea level (GMSL) rise. Confidence in projections of GMSL rise therefore depends on the ability of climate models to reproduce global mean thermosteric sea level (GMTSL) rise over the twentieth century. This ...
Importantly, changes in drought intensity are found to scale linearly with global warming amount especially under RCP8.5 scenario at the 95% confidence level, implying that future drought intensities over CONUS can be derived directly from given level of global mean temperature rise. This has great ...
To discover the current and projected nuances of this uneven warming, these three maps created in partnership with the National Public Utilities Council visualize the global temperature rise by country, using new and updated data from Berkeley Earth. Current State of Warming The three maps above vis...