《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》2024年第1期发表了《全球气象模型GFDL-SPEAR月降水预报订正与检验》一文,由于全球气象模型产生的原始预报通常包含复杂的误差,为评估新一代的GFDL-SPEAR模型对我国各二级水资源区的适用性,构建伯努利-伽马-...
We document the development and simulation characteristics of the next generation modeling system for seasonal to decadal prediction and projection at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL). SPEAR (Seamless System for Prediction and EArth System Research) is built from component models recently ...
【摘要】由于全球气象模型产生的原始预报通常包含复杂的误差,为评估新一代的GFDL-SPEAR模型对我国各二级水资源区的适用性,构建伯努利-伽马-高斯模型开展统计订正的对比实验,从逐月与累计降水2个方面评估预报的相关性、系统偏差、可靠性以及预报精度,从而辨析原始预报的误差并分析预报订正的作用。结果表明:GFDL-SPEAR原始预...
《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》2024年第1期发表了《全球气象模型GFDL-SPEAR月降水预报订正与检验》一文,由于全球气象模型产生的原始预报通常包含复杂的误差,为评估新一代的GFDL-SPEAR模型对我国各二级水资源区的适用性,构建伯努利-伽马-...
The nextゞeneration seasonal prediction system is built as part of the Seamless System for Prediction and EArth System Research (SPEAR) at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). SPEAR is an effort to develop a seamless system...
SPEARSkillful prediction of wintertime cold extremes on seasonal time scales is beneficial for multiple sectors. This study demonstrates that North American cold extremes, measured by the frequency of cold days in winter, are predictable several months in advance in the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics ...
We also assess projected changes in sequence frequency, intensity, and duration in California using the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Seamless System for Prediction and EArth system Research (GFDL SPEAR) global coupled model. Sequence frequency increases over time and is fairly un...
Multidecadal Variability and Predictability of Antarctic Sea Ice in GFDL SPEAR_LO Modeldoi:10.5194/tc-2023-18ANTARCTIC iceGENERAL circulation modelSEA iceOCEAN convectionOCEAN temperatureOCEAN wavesUsing a state-of-the-art coupled general circulation model, physical processes underlying Antarc...