Even a poll-obsessive like me would have to admit that during election campaigns we often spend too much time focusing on the election 'horse race' - who is up and who is down in the polls - on an almost hourly basis. Even in this election, where Labour has been well ...
Election type SubpopulationWho’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024Sept. 1Oct. 1Nov. 10102030405060%Harris 48.0%Trump 46.8%Nov. 5, 2024 leade...
Polls ending Jan. 7, 2023 President: general election, 2024 Jan.6-8 7,500 RV B Morning Consult Biden 43% 43% DeSantis Even Jan.6-8 7,500 RV B Morning Consult Biden 44% 41% Trump Biden +3 Jan. 1, 2023 President: general election, 2024 Dec.31-Jan.2 8,000 RV B Morning Consult...
Pre-election opinion polls gave the main opposition Labour Party a 20-point lead over the Conservative Party, which has been in power for 14 years. Observers say the cost of living, healthcare, education and immigration are among the issues that matter most to voters. ...
On May 22, the day Prime Minister Rishi Sunak called the General Election, the seven-day averages stood at Labour 45%, Conservatives 23%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 9% and Greens 6%. The averages have been calculated by the PA news agency and are based on polls published ...
General Election 2024 poll tracker What the polls tell us about what will happen on 4 July What are in the party manifestos? The pollsters have developed new techniques as they try to become more accurate. During this election there have been many more so-cal...
The UK goes to the polls on 4 July for a hotly anticipated general election. With manifestos being published and the usual media circus in full flow, we take…
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is taking the biggest gamble of his political life by calling a general election for July 4.
The Financial Times UK election 2024 poll tracker. FT data analysis, news and opinions on the July 4 general election as Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer’s campaigns begin.
Under the UK’s first-past-the-post electoral system, parties’ national vote shares are not closely tied to the number of seats they win, but ourgeneral election projection modelsuggests that if the polls are broadly correct, Labour could win around 450 of the 650 House of Commons seats. ...