This is precisely the reason that the percentage change in nominal GDP curve is above the real GDP percentage growth curve in the graph below (obtained from FRED):The average growth rate from 2015 to 2017 can be worked out using the formula for CAGR:...
Figure 1:GDP (bold black), April WSJ survey (light blue), GDPNow (4/15) (red square), NY Fed (light green square), St. Louis Fed (blue inverted triangle), IMF April 2024 WEO (chartreuse triangles), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source BEA via FRED, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, N...
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDINOS Gross Domestic Income: Net Operating Surplus This series peaked in 2022QII but has dropped considerably since. JohnH July 30, 2023 at 12:03 pm “Not exactly what JohnH has been peddling.” For once pgl is right. I was using referring to profi...
100 times the difference between the natural log of real investment spending in quartertand the value in quartert-4. Raw data fromFRED Here’s how the various broad components contributed to the annualized percentage growth rate each of the last 4 quarters: So where does that leave us? Both...
Similarly, assessing the state of the economy and its growth rate is beneficial, to better manage it for optimal growth.National income accounting is accounting for the nation as a whole. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), an agency of the Commerce Department, assesses the health of the ...
All analysis is based on data provided by FRED. finance jupyter-notebook pandas data-analysis gdp inflation pce m2 cpi interest-rates yield-curve m1 fred-api unemployment-rate us-treasury money-supply inflation-expectations us-public-debt participation-rate breakeven-inflation Updated Oct 5, 2024 ...
Side note: Ever thought of writing a book on econometrics? A guide on where to find data and how to use the confusing Fred and related tools? Wolf Richter Oct 31, 2024 at 2:36 pm AI spending is much more than just investment. It’s hug...
We conduct a recursive out-of-sample forecasting exercise to predict quarterly US GDP growth in real time. To this end, we utilize historical real-time data vintages from the FRED-MD database and quarterly US GDP from ALFRED.9 Whenever we generate a forecast, our model thus entirely relies ...
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=n8V8 January 15, 2018 Real Broad Effective Exchange Rate for China, India, Brazil, Turkey and South Africa, 2007-2022 (Indexed to 2007) [ Consumer inflation in Turkey is now running at 54%, producer inflation is running at 105%. ] ...
Thanks for providing the FRED data BAA Corporate Debt Rates. Of course the interest rate on long-term government bonds was around 9% in early 1990 but only 1.5% as of late 2021: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10/ FRED provides a graph on the difference between these two rates,...