Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY ESTIMATE 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ ...
Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster ...
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polls Add files via upload Jun 28, 2023 pollster-ratings Update pollster ratings 2024 data Mar 2, 2024 potential-candidates update READMEs Feb 10, 2018 presidential-campaign-trail Update presidential-campaign-trail README Dec 17, 2022 presidential-candidate-favorables-2019 ...
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update raw-polls.csv in pollster-ratings folder with copyedited names January 30, 2019 13:29 potential-candidates update READMEs February 9, 2018 13:36 presidential-campaign-trail update READMEs February 9, 2018 13:36 presidential-commencement-speeches ...
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an...
With that in mind, we thought it would be helpful to update where things stand in state-level polls of the presidential contest,like we did at the beginning of May. To do this, we gathered all the state polls in FiveThirtyEight’s polling database conducted since May 1 and then averaged...
polls@fivethirtyeight.com Download our data Polls and model output Sources: American National Election Studies, The American Presidency Project at the University of California Santa Barbara, Ballotpedia, Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives, Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, ...