Five thirty eight We are in full swing now in the presidential campaign, and we are constantly bombarded with poll numbers. Funny thing is, most of those polls are just national polls, a prediction of how the nation-wide popular vote will turn out. But as the 2000 election underscored, th...
The 538 team discusses how partisan biases influenced economic perceptions and voting outcome in the 2024 election. November 22 What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy? The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology. ...
Which leads to the question of whether football teams shouldeverpunt -- a question that will be the subject of an upcoming column. In more news, it must be election time, since Washington, D.C., looks awful. Flash back to last season. The Redskins won six straight to finish the regular...
2020’s Top Election Forecasters Are Fighting on TwitterNate Silver and G. Elliott Morris are trying to make sense of 2020 — and each other. ByMatthew Zeitlin poll positionSept. 18, 2020 New, Highly Credible Polls Offer Bad News For TrumpTrump is not doing well in states he really needs...