How was Bayes' theorem derived? What is the formula for Bayes' theorem? The probability of guessing the correct answer to a certain question is \frac{x}{3}. If the probability of not guessing the correct answer is \frac{x}{5}, then find the value of x. The probab...
This is a classical application of Bayes' Theorem. The formula to calculate the posterior probability is: P(A|B) = P(B|A) × P(A) / P(B) = P(B|A) × P(A) / (P(B|A) × P(A) + P(B|A*)× P(A*)) , where: P(A|B) is the posterior probability of the visitor be...