Historically, stock market performance in the months leading up to the election has been a fairly accurate predictor of the U.S. election outcome. Since 1984, every time the S&P 500 has generated a positive return from the beginning of August through the end of October in a U.S. pres...
2019 General Election Predictorhttps://livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/TacticalVoting_GE19/ Predicts election results given polls and % of tactical voting.Smarkets - https://smarkets.com/event/829237/politics/uk/next-uk-general-election/most-ge-seats Prediction market on election outcomes including all ...
again, that democracy is not significantly associated with hosting low-quality observers using this broader categorization. We still see that Russian influence is a significant predictor of hosting
Burnap, P., Gibson, R., Sloan, L., Southern, R., Williams, M.: 140 characters to victory?: using Twitter to predict the UK 2015 general election. Electoral. Stud.41, 230–233 (2016) ArticleGoogle Scholar Dwi Prasetyo, N., Hauff, C.: Twitter-based election prediction in the developi...
Historically, stock market performance in the months leading up to the election has been a fairly accurate predictor of the U.S. election outcome. Since 1984, every time the S&P 500 has generated a positive return from the beginning of August through the end of October in a U.S. presidenti...