4.1 The Dutch Book Argument A common way of arguing for conformity to the probability axioms examines the consequences of using degrees of belief to guide action if they fail to conform to the axioms. De Finetti [1937/1964] pursues this line of argument. He takes an agent's degrees of bel...
This survey offers critical assessments of several kinds of Dutch Book arguments. I begin with the classic argument for obedience to the probability calculus, emphasizing both its literal interpretation in terms of monetary losses at the hands of a cunning bettor, and the interpretation that this ...
The Consistency Condition and the Dutch Book Argument主观概率理论一致性条件荷兰赌论证主观主义概率论者把概率看成私人的事情.概率即部分信念,而部分信念可以通过赌商来测定,概率的主观求值只受一致性条件约束,概率律就是一致性律.通过荷兰赌可以论证一个赌商集合不可能导致荷兰赌,当且仅当,这个赌商集合满足概率...
The first tradition is that of the Dutch Book argument for probabilism. In this tradition, graded beliefs can be characterized by how they rationalize bets. Very roughly speaking, the Dutch Book argument establishes that a set of numerically graded beliefs is probabilistically coherent if and only ...
该系列赌局称为“荷兰赌”(Dutch Book)。按照经典表述,所谓荷兰赌论证就是:如果当事人的不确定信念度赋值不满足概率论 … philosophy.sysu.edu.cn|基于2个网页 2. 荷兰赌注簿 英国赌马场称这种不一致现象为荷兰赌注簿(Dutch Book),不过到底是什麽原因笔者并不了解。当然,在比赛中如果对手擅 … ...
“Note also that the point of any Dutch book argument is not that it would be imprudent to run the risk that some sneaky Dutchman will come and drain your pockets. After all, there aren’t so many sneaky Dutchmen around; and anyway, if ever you see one coming, you can refuse to do...
It’s not unlike learning a different language, you can learn the basics from a book, but you’ll only get the right techniques down by practicing. Blue Wolf on Oct 2014 at 1:21 am Well said, Tom. You hit the nail on the head. There’s a fine line between being frank or rude...
It was largely based upon an already existing design made for the American Marine Corps, but with several changes proposed by the Army of the Dutch East Indies, which included the addition of a small turret. Two… Renault FT in Dutch Service ...
In Q3, we were proud to hold our annual book for Kids Giving Back day where we supported more than 200 local organizations that enable compelling features in the communities in which we serve. Furthermore, we announced a generous donation in Grants Pass to aid early childhood education and th...
shower and toilet. The rest of the group went to visit a nearby rock and cave, I opted to stay on our boat, enjoying a pipe and a book. A good choice since the group, when they got back, complained those places were overrun by other tourists. Dinner, made by the crew, was tasty...