market downturn or even your own retirement—requires that you also take action. Otherwise your prediction was meaningless. This is why I’m always recommending that investors have a10 percent weighting in gold,split evenly between physical bullion and gold mining equities, which have histo...
They attribute this underprediction of the models to the lack of any information on fundamentals in the estimation process. Against this backdrop, our paper can thus be viewed as an extension of the abovementioned studies, in the sense that we not only use large-scale BVARs that allow for ...
Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater, the largest hedge fund in the world, and he said populism isn’t just a phenomenon occurring just in the United States but also abroad. In regards to his prediction for thenext stock market downturn, he expects it will be within the next two years but...
Factor risk premia in asset pricing models : an analysis of the upturn and downturn of the UK stock market This doctoral thesis investigates the sign and magnitude of a number of factor risk premia between up/bull and downlbear market movements, it assesses whether the premia of risk factors ...
We examine the effect of raising equity during the exogenous shock of Covid-19 economic downturn. Using a difference-in-differences methodology, we find that firms that issue equity during Covid-19 exhibit higher stock performance and lower likelihood of financial distress. Also, issuing firms main...
Cotton market In terms of external pressure, there are various difficulties that can hardly be described by themselves. First, the weak textile consumption in the lower reaches of the world has led to high inventories. For the prediction of production and inventory data, the US Department of agr...
In April 1st, the government of Malaysia formally imposed a commodity tax on goods other than food. Retail sales in the 4 quarter fell by 0.8%, a record low.MalaysiaThe prediction of Retailers Association. Commodities receivedService taxThe impact of implementation, the last quarter of 2014, Ma...
Moreover, we discover that the prediction results of recovery rate models are augmented by fusing firm features and loan characteristics with macroeconomic factors. Keywords: recovery rates; private non-financial firms; developing economy; determinants; downturn conditions; stepwise ordinary least squares ...
Costanza:Regarding the housing market issue and my prediction in 2007, I don't know if I can make the claim that I have a sixth sense. There were subtle but persistent signs of the coming crash. Those signs were apparent in the streets and in the marketplace. What I did not foresee ...