Democratic chances of victory in open House seats where the incumbent party has less than a 95 percent chance of winning, according to the final numbers from the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s forecast DistrictIncumbent PartyDem. chancesRating NC-02 R 100% Safe D NC-06 R 100 Safe D IA...
Connolly — who won reelection by more than 33 percentage points Tuesday — said he was not optimistic nor pessimistic about Democrats’ chances of winning the chamber, acknowledging that both parties have a path to the majority. “I’m neither,” he said. “I’m in the anxious and anticipa...
Although the Democrats have a narrow lead of 7%, their chances of winning majority in the U.S. House are stronger.NewportFrankJonesJeffreyM.SaadLydiaCarrollJosephGallup Poll Briefing
configurations that could come out of the election eight months from tomorrow, the two most likely are either Republicans winning the trifecta (Trump unseats Biden, Republicans retake the Senate and keep the House) or Trump winning and the GOP picking up the Senate but losing...
but Democrat Max Rose won 53 percent to 47 percent. Republican Katie Arrington had an11 in 12 chanceof winning the South Carolina 1st, but Democrat Joe Cunningham eked out a 51 percent to 49 percent win. And in the Oklahoma 5th District, our forecast had given Republican Rep. Steve Russell...
Parts of Ford’s speech about “winning the fight against inflation” and vowing to “assure safety in the streets” and “ensure the integrity of the Social Security system and improve Medicare” play as headlines about Scholten’s work on the economy and public safety appe...
reportedly argued that Biden couldn’t win in November and risked Democrats’ chances at winning the House by staying on the ticket. Long known for her effectiveness as a politician, the former House speaker seems to have wielded those skills here. Then, of course, there’s Biden’s ...
Most of those races are within the margin of error in public and private polling. A few may still break against the Democrats, and if it turns out that polls are a bit too optimistic for Democrats plenty could survive. But winning most of these would get Democrats almost to the majority,...
House of Representatives Still, it would be premature to go ahead and assume Democrats will win the popular vote by 11 points in 2024. For one thing, blowouts of that magnitude are rare historically — the House popular vote margin has hit double digits only once in the last 36 years (...
Democrats' road to winning back the House this fall begins in Pennsylvania, where a third of the 18 seats up for grabs are considered tight. The party needs to win 23 seats nationwide to flip the House and seize the majority. At a week-ago meeting of Lehigh Valley ROAR — the Ral...