“孔多塞陪审团定理”(Condorcet Jury Theorem):假设每个陪审员做正确决定的概率大于0.5,那么陪审员越多,整个陪审团就越容易做出正确决定。当陪审员多到一定程度,正确的概率就会 无限趋近于1。 === 同理:假设某个投资者的每个买入正确概率是大于0.5的,那么他的持有越分散,总持仓盈利的几率越高。 当然,高分散也是...
内容提示: Condorcet’s Jury Theorem with AbstentionGanesh Ghalme ∗ and Reshef Meir †∗ Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad, India† Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, IsraelAugust 2, 2024AbstractThe well-known Condorcet’s Jury theorem posits that the majority rule selects...
答案 康多瑟陪审团定理 相关推荐 1 The Condorcet Jury Theorem是什么? 反馈 收藏
Condorcet's jury theorem states that if a group is polled about some proposition, then, given certain assumptions, the majority's opinion is more responsive to the truth than is an individual's opinion. If a proposition is true, a majority will more likely than an individual judge that it ...
The environment is the same as in the Condorcet Jury Theorem (Condorcet (1785)). Voters have common preferences that depend on the unknown state of nature, and they receive imprecise private signals about the state of nature prior to voting. With two alternatives and strategic voters, the ...
Collective mistakes: Inefficient information aggregation for a trick question under strategic voting, WP, Tomoya Tajika CJT见wiki ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condorcet%27s_jury_theorem)本身只是…
必应词典为您提供Condorcet-Jury-Theorem的释义,网络释义: 孔多赛陪审团定理;康多瑟陪审团定理;
Condorcet’s jury theorem, dependency among jurors. Social Choice and Welfare 10: 87–95Berg S. (1993) Condorcet’s jury theorem, dependency among jurors. Social Choice and Welfare 10: 87–95Berg, S. (1993). Condorcet’s jury theorem, dependency among jurors. Social Choice and Welfare , ...
The Condorcet Jury Theorem implies that the collective performance of a group, in arriving at a “correct” judgment on the basis of majority or plurality rule, will be superior to the average performance of individual members of the group, if certain apparently plausible conditions hold. Variants...
Ladha K, Miller G (1996) Political discourse, factions and the general will: correlated voting and Condorcet's jury theorem. In: Scho...eld N (ed) Collective decision making. Kluwer, Boston.and Gary Miller. 1996. "Political Discourse, Factions, and the General Will: Correlated Voting and ...