Several aspects of climate change need further study in order to suitably capture the potential impact, the first of which is scaling. For instance, it is unclear how climate change predictions based on climate models with resolution on the order of 1000 km2 should be linked to landscape and ...
Protected areas (PA) are refugia of biodiversity. However, anthropogenic climate change induces a redistribution of life on Earth that affects the effectiveness of PAs. When species are forced to migrate from protected to unprotected areas to track suita
(CEMs) and boosted regression trees (BRTs)) to map changes in climate suitability for rainfed rice cultivation at a regional level (~ 18 × 18 km cell resolution) under projected future (2050) climate change (IPCC RCPs 2.6 and 8.5, using three GCMs: BCC-CSM1.1, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, and ...
This Perspective discusses how these challenges can be overcome, outlining concrete steps towards the provision of operational near-term climate predictions. Progress in this endeavour will bridge the gap between current seasonal forecasts and century-scale climate change projections, allowing a seamless ...
A roughness map covering Denmark is aggregated (ie area-average non-linearly) by a microscale aggregation model that takes the non-linear turbulent responses of each roughness step change between patches in an arbitrary patterninto account. The effective roughnesses are calculated into a 15 km by ...
CAVM Team (2003) Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map Scale 1:7500000 Conservation of Arctic Flora and Fauna (CAFF). Map No 1, US Fish & Wildlife Service, Anchorage, Alaska Google Scholar CCIRG (1996) Review of the Potential Effects of Climate Change in the United Kingdom. UK Climate Change...
The future LULC maps were simulated by the land change modeller (LCM) integrated into IDRISI Selva software. A total of six scenarios were defined by considering the rainfall (antecedent conditions and extreme events) and LULC changes towards two time periods (mid and late XXI century). A ...
resources. Moreover, to support our predictions, the incorporation of adaptive genetic variation in climate vulnerability assessments could provide more accurate forecasts of the species’ potential response to future climate change. This approach is a recently integrative part of the climate change ...
Climate change is a pervasive threat to biodiversity. While range shifts are a known consequence of climate warming contributing to regional community change, less is known about how species’ positions shift within their climatic niches. Furthermore, wh
Climate change threatens the health and survival of urban trees and the various benefits they deliver to urban inhabitants. Here, we show that 56% and 65% of species in 164 cities across 78 countries are currently exceeding temperature and precipitation conditions experienced in their geographic rang...